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2014 Atlantic hurricane season
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formed	July 1, 2014
Last system dissipated	Season still active
Strongest storm
Name	Arthur
• Maximum winds	100 mph (155 km/h)
• Lowest pressure	973 mbar (hPa; 28.73 inHg)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions	2
Total storms	1
Hurricanes	1
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)	0
Total fatalities	1 total
Total damage	$13.9 million (2014 USD)
Related article
Timeline of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season
Atlantic hurricane seasons 2012, 2013, 2014, Post-2014

The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season is an event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. The season began on June 1 and will end on November 30; these dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin, though the formation of tropical cyclones is possible at any time. However, the first storm did not develop until a month after the official start of the season.

Seasonal forecasts

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Philip J. Klotzbach, William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University (CSU); and separately by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasters.

Klotzbach's team (formerly led by Gray) defined the average number of storms per season (1981 to 2010) as 12.1 tropical storms, 6.4 hurricanes, 2.7 major hurricanes (storms reaching at least Category 3 strength on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale), and an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index of 96.1. NOAA defines a season as above-normal, near-normal or below-normal by a combination of the number of named storms, the number reaching hurricane strength, the number reaching major hurricane strength, and the ACE index.

Pre-season forecasts

On December 13, 2013, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a public consortium consisting of experts on insurance, risk management, and seasonal climate forecasting at University College London, issued their first outlook on seasonal hurricane activity during the 2014 season. In their report, the organization called for a near-normal year, with 14 (±4) tropical storms, 6 (±3) hurricanes, 3 (±2) intense hurricanes, and a cumulative ACE index of 106 (±58) units. The basis for such included slightly stronger than normal trade winds and slightly warmer than normal sea surface temperatures across the Caribbean Sea and tropical North Atlantic. A few months later, on March 24, 2014, Weather Services International (WSI), a subsidiary company of The Weather Channel, released their first outlook, calling for 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. Two factors—cooler-than-average waters in the eastern Atlantic, and the likelihood of an El Niño developing during the summer of 2014—were expected to negate high seasonal activity.

On April 7, TSR issued their second extended-range forecast for the season, lowering the predicted numbers to 12 (±4) named storms, 5 (±3) hurricanes, 2 (±2) major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 75 (±57) units. Three days later, CSU issued their first outlook for the year, predicting activity below the 1981–2010 average. Citing a likely El Niño of at least moderate intensity and cooler-than-average tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures, the organization predicted 9 named storms, 3 hurricanes, 1 major hurricane, and an ACE index of 55 units. The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the United States or tracking through the Caribbean Sea was expected to be lower than average.

On May 16, the United Kingdom Met Office (UKMO) issued a forecast of a slightly below-average season. It predicted 10 named storms with a 70% chance that the number would be between 7 and 13 and 6 hurricanes with a 70% chance that the number would be between 3 and 9. It also predicted an ACE index of 84 with a 70% chance that the index would be in the range 47 to 121.

Seasonal summary

The season's first tropical cyclone, Arthur, developed on July 1, ahead of the long-term climatological average of July 9. Early on July 3, the system intensified into a hurricane, beating the climatological average of August 10. After continuing to steadily intensify, it moved ashore between Cape Lookout and Cape Hatteras as a Category 2 hurricane, becoming the first U.S. landfalling cyclone of that intensity since Hurricane Ike in 2008. Upon moving inland, Arthur became the earliest known hurricane to strike the North Carolina coastline on record.

The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index for the season as of 1500 UTC July 5 is 6.8075 units.

Storms

Hurricane Arthur

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Duration	July 1 – July 5
Peak intensity	100 mph (155 km/h) (1-min); 973 mbar (hPa)

On June 25, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) began monitoring the possibility of tropical cyclogenesis over the next week as an area of low pressure was expected to develop off the Southeast United States. On June 27, a non-tropical low formed over South Carolina and moved southeast, emerging over the far western Atlantic Ocean early the next day. Generally favorable environmental conditions fostered further organization of the low, and in conjunction with satellite and radar data, the disturbance was upgraded to a tropical depression by 0300 UTC on July 1. Based on surface observations from Grand Bahama, the depression was upgraded to Tropical Storm Arthur at 1500 UTC. Data obtained from Air Force Reserve aircraft and radar suggested Arthur's winds had reached hurricane strength, and the tropical storm was upgraded to Hurricane Arthur at 0900 UTC on July 3.

Between June 30 and July 1, the outer bands of Arthur produced light rain over the northwestern Bahamas, with 1.26 in (32 mm) measured in Freeport. At 0315 UTC on July 4, Hurricane Arthur made landfall over the Shackleford Banks in North Carolina, between Cape Lookout and Beaufort. Arthur also made landfall in Canada near Port Maitland, Nova Scotia. In Woodstock, New Brunswick, a man died when his oxygen support was cut off during a power outage.

Tropical Depression Two

Tropical Depression Two
Current storm status Tropical depression (1-min mean)
Satellite image Forecast map
As of:	5 p.m. AST (2100 UTC) July 21
Location:	11°36′N 43°48′W / 11.6°N 43.8°W / 11.6; -43.8 (Tropical Depression Two) ± 30 nm About 1,205 mi (1,935 km) E of the Lesser Antilles
Sustained winds:	30 knots (35 mph; 55 km/h) (1-min mean) gusting to 40 knots (45 mph; 75 km/h)
Pressure:	1012 mbar (hPa; 29.89 inHg)
Movement:	W at 14 knots (16 mph; 26 km/h)
See more detailed information.

Tropical Depression Two formed on July 21.

Current storm information

As of 5 p.m. AST (2100 UTC) July 21, Tropical Depression Two is located within 30 nautical miles of 11°36′N 43°48′W / 11.6°N 43.8°W / 11.6; -43.8 (Two), about 1,205 miles (1,935 km) east of the Lesser Antilles. Maximum sustained winds are 30 knots (35 mph, 55 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 1012 millibars (hPa; 29.88 inHg), and the system is moving west at 14 knots (16 mph, 26 km/h).

For latest official information see:

• The NHC's latest Public Advisory on Tropical Depression Two
• The NHC's latest Forecast Discussion on Tropical Depression Two

Storm names

The following names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2014. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2015. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2020 season. This is the same list used in the 2008 season with the exception of Gonzalo, Isaias, and Paulette, which replaced Gustav, Ike, and Paloma, respectively.

Season effects

This is a table of all of the storms that have formed during the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, landfall(s)(denoted by bold location names), damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2014 USD.

See also

• List of Atlantic hurricanes
• 2014 Pacific hurricane season
• 2014 Pacific typhoon season
• 2014 North Indian Ocean cyclone season
• South-West Indian Ocean cyclone seasons: 2013–14, 2014–15
• Australian region cyclone seasons: 2013–14, 2014–15
• South Pacific cyclone seasons: 2013–14, 2014–15

Notes

1. The totals represent the sum of the squares for every tropical storm's intensity of over 33 knots (38 mph, 61 km/h), divided by 10,000. Calculations are provided at Talk:2014 Atlantic hurricane season/ACE calcs.

References

1. "Background Information: The North Atlantic Hurricane Season". Climate Prediction Center. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. August 9, 2012. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
2. ^ "Atlantic hurricane best track (HURDAT version 2)" (Database). United States National Hurricane Center. May 11, 2024. Retrieved January 19, 2025. This article incorporates text from this source, which is in the public domain.
   • • Landsea, Chris (April 2022). "The revised Atlantic hurricane database (HURDAT2) - Chris Landsea – April 2022" (PDF). Hurricane Research Division – NOAA/AOML. Miami: Hurricane Research Division – via Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory.
3. ^ Mark Saunders; Adam Lea (December 12, 2013). "Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2014" (PDF). University College London. Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
4. ^ Jon Erdman (March 24, 2014). "2014 Hurricane Season Outlook: Another Quiet Season Possible for Atlantic". Weather Services International. The Weather Channel. Retrieved March 24, 2014.
5. ^ Mark Saunders; Adam Lea (April 7, 2014). "April Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2014" (PDF). University College London. Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved April 7, 2014.
6. ^ Phillip J. Klotzbach; William M. Gray (April 10, 2014). "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2014" (PDF). Colorado State University. Colorado State University. Retrieved April 10, 2014.
7. Lian Xie (April 16, 2014). "Expect Relatively Quiet Hurricane Season, NC State Researchers Say". North Carolina State University. North Carolina State University. Retrieved April 16, 2014.
8. ^ North Atlantic Tropical Storm Seasonal Forecast 2014 (Report). Exeter, England. May 16, 2014. Retrieved May 22, 2014.
9. NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Report). National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. May 22, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
10. "FSU COAPS Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast". Florida State University Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies. Florida State University. May 22, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2014. {{cite web}}: Check |archiveurl= value (help)
11. Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray (December 10, 2008). "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2009". Colorado State University. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 12, 2009. Retrieved December 13, 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
12. "NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Season Classifications". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. National Hurricane Center. May 22, 2008. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
13. "Tropical Cyclone Climatology". National Hurricane Center. Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved May 23, 2014.
14. Mike Watkins (July 3, 2014). "Arthur makes landfall as a Category 2 Hurricane". HurricaneTrack. HurricaneTrack. Retrieved July 4, 2014.
15. Wes Hohenstein (July 4, 2014). "Arthur hits NC with 100 mph winds, earliest strike in NC history". WNCN News. WNCN News. Retrieved July 4, 2014.
16. Stacy R. Stewart (June 25, 2014). Tropical Weather Outlook. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
17. Eric S. Blake (June 27, 2014). Tropical Weather Outlook. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
18. Robbie J. Berg (June 28, 2014). Tropical Weather Outlook. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
19. Daniel P. Brown (June 28, 2014). Tropical Weather Outlook. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
20. Daniel P. Brown (July 1, 2014). Tropical Depression One Discussion Number 1. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
21. Stacy R. Stewart (July 1, 2014). Tropical Storm Arthur Discussion Number 3. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
22. Michael Brennan (July 3, 2014). Hurricane Arthur Discussion Number 10. National Hurricane Center (Report). Miami, Florida: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Retrieved July 3, 2014.
23. "Weather History for Freeport, Bahamas: June 30, 2014". Weather Underground. June 30, 2014. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
24. "Weather History for Freeport, Bahamas: July 1, 2014". Weather Underground. July 1, 2014. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
25. "Hurricane Arthur makes landfall in North Carolina as Category 2 storm: July 3, 2014". CNN. July 3, 2014. Retrieved July 3, 2014.
26. "Hurricane Arthur Recap: First Atlantic Hurricane of the 2014 Season". Weather Channel. July 3, 2014. Retrieved July 7, 2014.
27. Michael Brennan (July 21, 2014). Tropical Depression Two Discussion Number 1 (Report). National Hurricane Center. Retrieved July 21, 2014.
28. "Arthur power outage may have contributed to Woodstock death". CBC News. July 9, 2014. Retrieved July 10, 2014.

External links

• National Hurricane Center Website
• National Hurricane Center's Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
• Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Guidance Product

v t e Tropical cyclones of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season
Timeline
	2Arthur TDTwo 1Bertha 1Cristobal TSDolly 3Edouard 1Fay 4Gonzalo TSHanna
Category

• Atlantic hurricane seasons
• 2014 Atlantic hurricane season