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2010 Michigan gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions

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====Withdrew==== ====Withdrew====
* ], Michigan Secretary of State. She is running for ] as ]'s running mate<ref>http://www.freep.com/article/20090915/NEWS06/90916003/1318/Bouchard-set-to-name-Land-as-running-mate</ref> * ], Michigan Secretary of State. She is running for ] as ]'s running mate<ref>http://www.freep.com/article/20090915/NEWS06/90916003/1318/Bouchard-set-to-name-Land-as-running-mate</ref>
(which is technically irrelevant as the party is responsible for the nomination of Lt. Governor)


====Potential==== ====Potential====
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====Formally exploring==== ====Formally exploring====
* ], Former Republican Member of Congress, 2002 Republican candidate for Governor<ref>http://freep.com/article/20100302/NEWS15/100302058/1322/Schwarz-to-explore-run-for-Michigan-governor</ref> * ], Former Republican Member of Congress, 2002 Republican candidate for Governor<ref>http://freep.com/article/20100302/NEWS15/100302058/1322/Schwarz-to-explore-run-for-Michigan-governor</ref>
* Stacey Mathia (someone else can dig for her details)


==Polling== ==Polling==
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! width='130'| David R. Kniffen ! width='130'| David R. Kniffen
|- |-
⚫ |
|
| align=center| April 12, 2010
| align=center | 9%
| align=center | 10%
| align=center | 14%
| {{party shading/Republican}}align=center | '''25%'''
| align=center | --
| align=center | 1%
|-

⚫
| align=center| March 30, 2010 | align=center| March 30, 2010
| align=center | 13% | align=center | 13%

Revision as of 14:25, 22 April 2010

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The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2010 will be held on November 2, 2010. Governor Jennifer Granholm, a Democrat, is prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term, which created a large pool of potential candidates in both the Democratic and Republican parties.

The race is expected to be highly competitive, and the Cook Political Report rates the state as a toss up. The non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rates the race as leaning Republican. Some analysts believe that Cherry's withdrawal makes the race more competitive.

Both local and national polling show Congressman Peter Hoekstra and state Attorney General Mike Cox as the front-runners for the Republican Party nomination. The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010. The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary is 4:00 p.m., May 11, 2010.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Announced

Potential

Withdrew

  • Robert Bowman, former Michigan treasurer (Ended exploratory bid on 02-15-2010)
  • John Cherry, Lieutenant Governor (Ended exploratory bid on 01-05-2010)
  • Hansen Clarke, member of the Michigan Senate (Ended bid on 01-15-2010)
  • John Freeman, former member of the Michigan House of Representatives (Ended bid on 01-11-2010)
  • Dan Kildee, former Genesee County Treasurer (Ended exploratory bid on 03-05-2010)

Declined

Republican Party

Announced

Withdrew

Potential

Declined

Independents

Formally exploring

  • Joe Schwarz, Former Republican Member of Congress, 2002 Republican candidate for Governor

Polling

Democratic primary

Poll Source Dates administered John D. Cherry Andy Dillon George Perles John Freeman Alma Wheeler Smith Dan Kildee Virg Bernero
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010 -- 12% -- -- 10% -- 8%
Denno-Noor Research March 3-5, 2010 -- 13% -- -- 6% 6% 11%
EPIC-MRA February 22-25, 2010 -- 17% -- -- 7% 12% 8%
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 20% 6% 6% 2% 2% -- --
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 33% -- 3% 2% 5% -- --
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 40% -- -- 9% 8% -- --

Republican primary

Poll Source Dates administered Mike Cox Peter Hoekstra Mike Bouchard Rick Snyder Tom George David R. Kniffen
Rasmussen Reports Polling March 30, 2010 13% 27% 6% 18% -- --
Marketing Research Group March 10-15, 2010 21% 21% 10% 20% 1% -
Denno-Noor Research March 3-5, 2010 12% 28% 8% 18% 2% --
EPIC-MRA February 22-25, 2010 21% 27% 10% 12% 1% --
Mitchell Research & Communications November 17–19, 2009 27% 24% 12% 3% 3% --
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 15% 21% 13% 5% 3% --
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 28% 29% -- 14% 3% 2%
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 27% 23% 15% -- -- --
Marketing Resource Group March 4–10, 2009 15% 17% -- -- -- --

General election

Poll Source Dates administered Alma Wheeler Smith (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R)
Rasmussen Reports February 9, 2010 30% 45% -- --
28% -- 44% --
29% -- -- 42%
Poll Source Dates administered Andy Dillon (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R)
EPIC-MRA February 22-25, 2010 37% -- 41% --
36% 43% -- --
Rasmussen Reports February 9, 2010 36% 35% -- --
34% -- 41% --
32% -- -- 40%
Poll Source Dates administered Virg Bernero (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R)
Rasmussen Reports February 9, 2010 34% 40% -- --
30% -- 43% --
31% -- -- 40%
Poll Source Dates administered Dan Kildee (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R)
EPIC-MRA February 22-25, 2010 37% -- 41% --
37% 46% -- --

References

  1. http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080527/NEWS06/805270338
  2. http://www.detnews.com/article/20100105/POLITICS02/1050391/Lt.-Gov.-Cherry-won-t-run-for-governor
  3. http://www.cookpolitical.com/
  4. http://www.freep.com/article/20100107/NEWS06/1070408/1322/New-blood-in-race-could-hurt-GOP
  5. ^ http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/michigan/election_2010_michigan_governor
  6. http://www.legalnewsline.com/news/224291-poll-cox-leads-michigan-governors-race
  7. http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/2009/03/19/republicans-show-startling-strength-in-race-for-michigan-governor.html
  8. http://www.wwj.com/Cherry-May-Not-Seek-Governor-s-Seat/6034971
  9. ^ http://www.bostonherald.com/news/national/midwest/view/20100105john_cherry_tells_ap_hes_out_of_mi_race/srvc=home&position=recent
  10. http://michigan.gov/documents/sos/2010_Important_Dates_Filing_Deadline_259703_7.pdf
  11. http://www.freep.com/article/20100208/NEWS15/100208007/1318/Bernero-enters-governors-race
  12. http://www.mlive.com/news/saginaw/index.ssf/2010/02/speaker_of_the_house_andy_dill.html
  13. http://www.michiganliberal.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=14414
  15. http://www.woodtv.com/dpp/elections/governor/Will-Fieger-run-for-governor-again
  16. http://www.freep.com/article/20081111/SPORTS07/81111079/1008/NEWS
  17. http://www.detnews.com/article/20100114/METRO/1140367/1024/POLITICS03/Ilitch-mulls-run-for-governor
  18. http://freep.com/article/20100215/NEWS15/100215011/1320/Bowman-wont-run-for-Michigan-governor
  19. State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
  20. Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
  21. http://www.mlive.com/news/flint/index.ssf/2010/03/dan_kildee_announces_his_withd.html
  22. http://www.freep.com/article/20081120/NEWS06/81120043
  23. http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=6193
  24. http://www.freep.com/article/20100127/SPORTS03/100127054/1051/sports03/Joe-Dumars-Im-not-running-for-governor
  25. http://www.detnews.com/article/20100107/POLITICS02/1070445/1361/Dillon--Stupak-look-at-gubernatorial-runs--Archer--Ficano-say-no-thanks
  26. http://michiganmessenger.com/18792/macomb-county-sheriff-unlikely-to-run-for-gov
  27. http://www.detnews.com/article/20100210/POLITICS02/2100396/Denise-Ilitch-will-not-run-for-Michigan-governor Detroit News
  28. http://www.petoskeynews.com/news/article_dab438ea-0053-11df-9fed-001cc4c002e0.html
  29. http://www.freep.com/article/20100126/NEWS15/100126013/1322/Rep.-Stupak-wont-run-for-governor
  30. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-ap-mi-governorsrace-bo,0,4256591.story
  31. http://www.detnews.com/article/20090603/POLITICS02/906030408/1361/Bouchard-enters-race-for-governor
  32. http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081107/POLITICS/811070368
  33. http://www.mlive.com/news/grand-rapids/index.ssf/2009/05/michigan_attorney_general_mike_1.html
  34. http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/19043654/detail.html
  35. "Michigan Committee Statement of Organization". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-01-18.
  36. "David R. Kniffen for Governor Website". www.votekniffen.com. Retrieved 2009-12-22.
  37. http://michigansthumb.com/articles/2009/07/03/news/local_news/doc4a4e0d932d85a860714941.txt
  38. http://www.rickformichigan.com/im-running-for-governor-by-rick-snyder/
  39. http://www.freep.com/article/20090915/NEWS06/90916003/1318/Bouchard-set-to-name-Land-as-running-mate
  40. http://detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081112/POLITICS/811120466
  41. Ted Nugent To Run For Michigan Governor In 2010?
  42. http://www.freep.com/article/20081112/NEWS06/81112060
  43. http://www.wwj.com/pages/4166677.php?
  44. http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/brandon_eschews.php
  45. http://freep.com/article/20100302/NEWS15/100302058/1322/Schwarz-to-explore-run-for-Michigan-governor

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