| Revision as of 11:54, 26 August 2010 editCmadler (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, Pending changes reviewers12,173 edits →General election polling: correct a couple errors, add "undecided" and "other" information where available← Previous edit | Revision as of 12:14, 26 August 2010 edit undoSteelbeard1 (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, Pending changes reviewers24,762 edits I should inform an administrator. This edit war must end.Next edit → | ||
| Line 21: | Line 21: | ||
| | popular_vote2 = | | popular_vote2 = | ||
| | percentage2 = | | percentage2 = | ||
| | image4 = | |||
| | nominee4 = Kenneth Proctor | |||
| | running_mate4 = Erwin J Haas | |||
| | party4 = Libertarian Party (United States) | |||
| | popular_vote4 = | |||
| | percentage4 = | |||
| | image5 = | |||
| | nominee5 = Harley Mikkelson | |||
| | running_mate5 = Lynn Meadows | |||
| | party5 = Green Party (United States) | |||
| | popular_vote5 = | |||
| | percentage5 = | |||
| | image6 = | |||
| | nominee6 = Stacey Mathia | |||
| | running_mate6 = Chris Levels | |||
| | party6 = U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan | |||
| | popular_vote6 = | |||
| | percentage6 = | |||
| <!-- | <!-- | ||
| | map_image = | | map_image = | ||
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| directly addressed a common misconception. "Of considerable note, the mainstream media has often parroted claims that individuals like Stacey Mathia who have been heavily involved in the ] movement are racist. As Mathia’s new choice for running mate proves, nothing could be further from the truth. The USTPM made politically powerful choices by nominating these candidates in order to “split the votes” away from other Parties with disaffected voters who have wanted honest Law-Abiding government and “changes” that The People have needed for so long. The USTPM is offering appealing candidates with the right message and the right platform to win this election. Watch for poll numbers to start reflecting their popularity as each candidate reaches out to voters across the state." | directly addressed a common misconception. "Of considerable note, the mainstream media has often parroted claims that individuals like Stacey Mathia who have been heavily involved in the ] movement are racist. As Mathia’s new choice for running mate proves, nothing could be further from the truth. The USTPM made politically powerful choices by nominating these candidates in order to “split the votes” away from other Parties with disaffected voters who have wanted honest Law-Abiding government and “changes” that The People have needed for so long. The USTPM is offering appealing candidates with the right message and the right platform to win this election. Watch for poll numbers to start reflecting their popularity as each candidate reaches out to voters across the state." | ||
| ==Debates== | == Debates == | ||
| On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by ] in ]. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by ], ] and ]. Rick Snyder has yet to agree to participate.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.detnews.com/article/20100812/POLITICS02/8120470/Bernero-accepts-3-debate-invites--Snyder-yet-to-commit |title=Bernero accepts 3 debate invites, Snyder yet to commit | detnews.com | The Detroit News |publisher=detnews.com |date=2010-08-12 |accessdate=2010-08-21}}</ref> | On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by ] in ]. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by ], ] and ]. Rick Snyder has yet to agree to participate.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.detnews.com/article/20100812/POLITICS02/8120470/Bernero-accepts-3-debate-invites--Snyder-yet-to-commit |title=Bernero accepts 3 debate invites, Snyder yet to commit | detnews.com | The Detroit News |publisher=detnews.com |date=2010-08-12 |accessdate=2010-08-21}}</ref> | ||
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| ! style="width:130px;"| Virg Bernero (D) | ! style="width:130px;"| Virg Bernero (D) | ||
| ! style="width:130px;"| Rick Snyder (R) | ! style="width:130px;"| Rick Snyder (R) | ||
| ! style="width:130px;"| Other | |||
| ! style="width:130px;"| Undecided | |||
| |- | |- | ||
| | | | | ||
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| | align=center | 32% | | align=center | 32% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''51%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''51%''' | ||
| | | |||
| | align=center | 18% | |||
| |- | |- | ||
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| | align=center | 37% | | align=center | 37% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''49%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''49%''' | ||
| | align=center | 3% | |||
| | align=center | 11% | |||
| |- | |- | ||
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| | align=center | 30% | | align=center | 30% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''42%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''42%''' | ||
| | align=center | 7% | |||
| | align=center | 22% | |||
| |- | |- | ||
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| | align=center | 28% | | align=center | 28% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''44%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center | '''44%''' | ||
| | | |||
| | align=center | 28% | |||
| |- | |- | ||
| | | | | ||
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| |align=center| 28% | |align=center| 28% | ||
| |{{party shading/Republican}} align=center|'''51%''' | |{{party shading/Republican}} align=center|'''51%''' | ||
| | | |||
| | | |||
| |- | |- | ||
| | | | | ||
| | align=center| March 28–31, 2010 | | align=center| March 28–31, 2010 | ||
| | align=center| |
| align=center|29% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center|'''42%''' | | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center|'''42%''' | ||
| | | |||
| | align=center|32% | |||
| |- | |- | ||
| | | | | ||
| | align=center| March 10–15, 2010 | | align=center| March 10–15, 2010 | ||
| | align=center| |
| align=center|26% | ||
| | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center|''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center|'''42%''' | ||
| | | |||
| | | |||
| |} | |} | ||
Revision as of 12:14, 26 August 2010
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The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2010 will be held on November 2, 2010. Governor Jennifer Granholm, a Democrat, is prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadine passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans. Both the Cook Political Report and the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rate the race as leaning Republican.
The Republican primary race was highly competitive; both local and national polling reported Congressman Peter Hoekstra, state Attorney General Mike Cox, and businessman Rick Snyder as being front-runners for the Republican Party nomination. The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010. The final polls just days before the primary election showed that, while Lansing mayor Virg Bernero was in the lead, over a quarter of those polled were still undecided. The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 PM on May 11, 2010.
A total of 1,575,167 registered voters voted in the primaries, with 66.4% of them voting in the Republican primary. Analysts believe a large portion of Democrats crossed party lines to vote for Snyder, whose ad-campaign targeted bipartisan and independent support. In Michigan, voters may vote in either primary regardless of their political affiliation but can only vote for one party. Ballots with split tickets are not counted in partisan races. Both races came in more disparate than predicted. Snyder won with a near 10 point lead over closest rival Pete Hoekstra, and Bernero won with an even larger 17 point lead over early favorite state house speaker Andy Dillon. The results were a clear message from voters that they wanted a political outsider for governor. On August 25, Snyder appointed state representative Brian Calley as his running mate.
Democratic primary
Democratic candidates
Democratic nominee
- Virg Bernero, Lansing Mayor
Defeated in Democratic primary
- State house speaker Andy Dillon
Withdrawn Democrats
- Alma Wheeler Smith, Member of the Michigan House of Representatives (Ended exploratory bid on 5-10-2010)
- Robert Bowman, former Michigan treasurer (Ended exploratory bid on 02-15-2010)
- John Cherry, Lieutenant Governor (Ended exploratory bid on 01-05-2010)
- Hansen Clarke, member of the Michigan Senate (Ended bid on 01-15-2010, ran for congressman instead)
- John Freeman, former member of the Michigan House of Representatives (Ended bid on 01-11-2010)
- Dan Kildee, former Genesee County Treasurer (Ended exploratory bid on 03-05-2010)
Democratic primary polling
Names that are italicized appeared on the primary ballot.
| Poll Source | Dates administered | John D. Cherry | Andy Dillon | George Perles | John Freeman | Alma Wheeler Smith | Dan Kildee | Virg Bernero |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | July 28, 2010 | -- | 32% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 40% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 12–15, 2010 | -- | 34% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | -- | 23% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 26% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 22–26, 2010 | -- | 29% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 23% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 22, 2010 | -- | 13% | -- | -- | 9% | -- | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 24, 2010 | -- | 12% | -- | -- | 10% | -- | 8% |
| Denno-Noor Research | March 3–5, 2010 | -- | 13% | -- | -- | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA | February 22–25, 2010 | -- | 17% | -- | -- | 7% | 12% | 8% |
| Detroit Free Press | November 12–17, 2009 | 20% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 2% | -- | -- |
| EPIC-MRA | October 11–15, 2009 | 33% | -- | 3% | 2% | 5% | -- | -- |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 12–20, 2009 | 40% | -- | -- | 9% | 8% | -- | -- |
Democratic primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Virg Bernero | 309,235 | 58.6 | |
| Democratic | Andy Dillon | 218,884 | 41.4 | |
| Total votes | 527,202 | 100 | ||
Republican Primary
Republican candidates
Republican nominee
- Rick Snyder, businessman
Defeated in Republican primary
- Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard
- Michigan Attorney General Mike Cox
- Michigan State Senator Tom George
- U.S. Congressman Peter Hoekstra
Not on Republican ballot
- Tim Rujan (failed to qualify), Huron County Commissioner
Withdrawn Republicans
- Terri Lynn Land, Michigan Secretary of State. She was running for lieutenant governor as Bouchard's running mate
- David Kniffen, businessman.
Republican primary polling
| Poll Source | Dates administered | Mike Cox | Peter Hoekstra | Mike Bouchard | Rick Snyder | Tom George | David Kniffen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | July 29, 2010 | 24% | 23% | 10% | 26% | 1% | -- |
| Detroit News 4/WDIV | July 18, 2010 | 26.4% | 25.6% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 1.8% | -- |
| EPIC-MRA | June 12–15, 2010 | 26% | 24% | 16% | 20% | 2% | -- |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | 17% | 19% | 15% | 20% | 9% | -- |
| EPIC-MRA | May 22–26, 2010 | 18% | 30% | 16% | 17% | 2% | -- |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 22, 2010 | 13% | 28% | 9% | 14% | -- | -- |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 30, 2010 | 13% | 27% | 6% | 18% | -- | -- |
| Marketing Research Group | March 10–15, 2010 | 21% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 1% | - |
| Denno-Noor Research | March 3–5, 2010 | 12% | 28% | 8% | 18% | 2% | -- |
| EPIC-MRA | February 22–25, 2010 | 21% | 27% | 10% | 12% | 1% | -- |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | November 17–19, 2009 | 27% | 24% | 12% | 3% | 3% | -- |
| Detroit Free Press | November 12–17, 2009 | 15% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 3% | -- |
| EPIC-MRA | October 11–15, 2009 | 28% | 29% | -- | 14% | 3% | 2% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 12–20, 2009 | 27% | 23% | 15% | -- | -- | -- |
| Marketing Resource Group | March 4–10, 2009 | 15% | 17% | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Republican primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Snyder | 381,327 | 36.4 | |
| Republican | Pete Hoekstra | 280,976 | 26.8 | |
| Republican | Mike Cox | 240,409 | 23.0 | |
| Republican | Mike Bouchard | 127,350 | 12.2 | |
| Republican | Tom George | 16,986 | 1.6 | |
| Total votes | 1,044,925 | 100 | ||
Other parties
Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections.
Libertarian Party candidates
The Libertarian Party nominee is Kenneth Proctor.
Green Party candidates
The Green Party of Michigan held their statewide nominating convention July 31 & August 1 in Lansing, Michigan, and nominated Harley Mikkelson for Governor and Lynn Meadows for Lieutenant Governor.
U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates
The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing, Michigan. In a nearly unanimous vote Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the US Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of Governor and Lt. Governor.
According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia’s agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority."
The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia’s website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."
Stacey Mathia directly addressed a common misconception. "Of considerable note, the mainstream media has often parroted claims that individuals like Stacey Mathia who have been heavily involved in the Tea Party movement movement are racist. As Mathia’s new choice for running mate proves, nothing could be further from the truth. The USTPM made politically powerful choices by nominating these candidates in order to “split the votes” away from other Parties with disaffected voters who have wanted honest Law-Abiding government and “changes” that The People have needed for so long. The USTPM is offering appealing candidates with the right message and the right platform to win this election. Watch for poll numbers to start reflecting their popularity as each candidate reaches out to voters across the state."
Debates
On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by WXYZ-TV, WWJ (AM) and Crain's Detroit Business. Rick Snyder has yet to agree to participate.
General election polling
| Poll Source | Dates administered | Virg Bernero (D) | Rick Snyder (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit News | August 9-10, 2010 | 32% | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4, 2010 | 37% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2010 | 30% | 42% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | 28% | 44% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 22–26, 2010 | 28% | 51% |
| EPIC-MRA | March 28–31, 2010 | 29% | 42% |
| Michigan Research Group | March 10–15, 2010 | 26% | 42% |
See also
United States gubernatorial elections, 2010
References
- ^ "2010 Official Michigan Primary Candidate Listing". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- http://www.detnews.com/article/20100105/POLITICS02/1050391/Lt.-Gov.-Cherry-won-t-run-for-governor
- "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. 2010-08-17. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Election 2010: Michigan Governor - Rasmussen Reports™". Rasmussenreports.com. 2010-08-04. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- 1871media.com - info@1871media.com. "Poll: Cox leads Michigan governor's race". LegalNewsline. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - "Republicans Show Startling Strength in Race for Michigan Governor - Michael Barone". usnews.com. 2009-03-19. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- http://www.freep.com/article/20100729/NEWS15/100729056/1319/Snyder-holds-edge-in-tight-GOP-governors-race
- ^ Press, Associated (2010-01-05). "John Cherry tells AP he's out of MI race". BostonHerald.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Poll Bernero opens 8 point lead | WOOD TV8". Woodtv.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "2010 Important Dates Filing Deadline" (PDF). Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "2010 Unofficial Michigan Primary Election Results - Governor 4 Year Term (1) Position". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Berr, Jonathan (2010-08-17). "Michigan Governor's Race: Will Voters Pick Tough Nerd Rick Snyder or Angry Mayor Virg Bernero?". DailyFinance. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Rick Snyder, Virg Bernero will test voters' opinions on organized labor, outsourcing". AnnArbor.com. 2010-08-05. Retrieved 2010-08-12.
One thing Snyder and Bernero have in common: They're both portraying themselves as outsiders who can solve the political gridlock seizing the state legislature...It's clear voters are tired of politics as usual.
- http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/08/its_a_go_rick_snyder_names_bri.html
- "Speaker of the House Andy Dillon declares Democratic run for governor". MLive.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Bell, Dawson (2010-05-10). "Rep. Wheeler Smith abandons bid for governor". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved 2010-05-10.
- State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
- Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
- "Dan Kildee announces his withdrawal from race for Michigan governor". MLive.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ^ "Michigan Primary results". 2010 Unofficial Michigan Primary Election Results. August 4, 2010. Retrieved August 10, 2010.
{{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=(help) - "Elections : Elections News and Photos". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- http://www.detnews.com/article/20090603/POLITICS02/906030408/1361/Bouchard-enters-race-for-governor
- http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081107/POLITICS/811070368
- AP File Photo. "Michigan Attorney General Mike Cox will make official his campaign to seek governor's seat". MLive.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Hoekstra To Run For Governor - Detroit Local News Story - WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. 2009-03-30. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Huron Daily Tribune > Archives > News > Local News > Rujan running for governor". Michigansthumb.com. 2009-07-03. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Michigan 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- Mack, Julie (2010-07-03). "Terri Lynn Land says she, Mike Bouchard looking to 'fix Michigan'". Kalamazoo News. Retrieved 2010-08-12.
- "Michigan Committee Statement of Organization". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-01-18.
- Crumm, Charles (2010-05-09). "Kniffen withdraws from GOP race for governor". The Oakland Press. Retrieved 2010-08-12.
- "candidates". Mi.lp.org. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "the Green Party of Michigan's home on the web". Migreens.Org. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- "Bernero accepts 3 debate invites, Snyder yet to commit | detnews.com | The Detroit News". detnews.com. 2010-08-12. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
External links
- Michigan Department of State - Elections in Michigan
- Michigan Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Michigan Governor from Follow the Money
- Michigan Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Michigan Governor General Election: Rick Snyder (R) vs Virg Bernero (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Michigan Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Michigan Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Michigan Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Debates
- Michigan Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, June 21, 2010
- Michigan Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, June 24, 2010
- Michigan Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, July 13, 2010
- Official campaign sites
| Michigan political parties | ||
|---|---|---|
| Major parties (ballot-qualified) |  | |
| Minor parties (ballot-qualified) | ||
| Minor parties (not ballot-qualified) | ||
| Political party strength in Michigan | ||
| (2009 ←) 2010 United States elections (→ 2011) | |
|---|---|
| U.S. Senate |
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| U.S. House (election ratings) |
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| Governors |
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| Attorneys general | |
| State legislatures |
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| Mayors | |
| States |
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